Title
The Fragility of Market Risk Insurance
Author(s)
Ralph Koijen Ralph Koijen (University of Chicago)
Motohiro Yogo Motohiro Yogo (Princeton University)
Abstract
Variable annuities, which package mutual funds with minimum return guarantees over long horizons, accounted for $1.5 trillion or 35% of U.S. life insurer liabilities in 2015. Sales decreased and fees increased during the global financial crisis, and insurers made guarantees less generous or stopped offering guarantees to reduce risk exposure. These effects persist in the low interest rate environment after the global financial crisis, and variable annuity insurers suffered large equity drawdowns during the COVID-19 crisis. We develop and estimate a model of insurance markets in which financial frictions and market power determine pricing, contract characteristics, and the degree of market completeness.
Creation Date
2022-03
Section URL ID
Paper Number
2022-3
URL
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w24182/w24182.pdf
File Function
Jel
G22, G32
Keyword(s)
Insurance, Financial Crisis, Risk
Suppress
false
Series
13