Title
The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level with a Bubble
Author(s)
Markus Brunnermeier Markus Brunnermeier (Princeton University)
Sebastian Merkel Sebastian Merkel (Princeton University)
Yuliy Sannikov Yuliy Sannikov (Stanford University)
Abstract
This paper incorporates a bubble term in the standard FTPL equation to explain why countries with persistently negative primary surpluses can have a positively valued currency and low inflation. It also provides an example with closed-form solutions in which idiosyncratic risk on capital returns depresses the interest rate on government bonds below the economy’s growth rate.
Creation Date
2020-05
Section URL ID
Paper Number
2020-47
URL
https://scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/files/markus/files/04a_ftpl_bubble_paper.pdf
File Function
Jel
E44, E52, E63
Keyword(s)
Fiscal policy, Monetary Economics
Suppress
false
Series
13