Title
A Model of Expertise
Author(s)
Vijay Krishna Vijay Krishna (Penn State University)
John Morgan John Morgan (Princeton University)
Abstract
We study a model in which two perfectly informed experts offer advice to a decision maker whose actions affect the welfare of all. Experts are biased and thus may wish to pull the decision maker in different directions and to different degrees. When the decision maker consults only a single expert, the expert withholds substantial information from the decision maker. We ask whether this situation is improved by having the decision maker consult a cabinet of (two) experts. We first show that there is no perfect Bayesian equilibrium direction, it is never beneficial to consult both. In contrast, when experts are biased in opposite directions, it is always beneficial to consult both. Finally, a cabinet of extremists is of no value.
Creation Date
1999-01
Section URL ID
WWSEcon
Paper Number
dp206.pdf
URL
http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/rjmorgan/Experts%20Final%20QJE%20Version.pdf
File Function
Jel
D82
Keyword(s)
Suppress
false
Series
4