Title
Usefulness of Adaptive and Rational Expectations in Economics
Author(s)
Gregory C. Chow Gregory Chow (Princeton University)
Abstract
This paper provides a statistical reason and strong econometric evidence for supporting the adaptive expectations hypothesis in economics. It points out why the rational expectations hypothesis was embraced by the economics profession without sufficient evidence. Finally it will summarize the conditions under which these two competing hypotheses can be used effectively.
Creation Date
2011-09
Section URL ID
CEPS
Paper Number
221
URL
https://gceps.princeton.edu/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/221chow.pdf
File Function
Jel
E00
Keyword(s)
macroeconomics, adaptive expectations, rational expectations
Suppress
false
Series
3